Monetizing Traffic - SEO is Pointless if You Throw Your Traffic Away

Recently 11 blogs from the Fine Fools network sold with content, designs, and links for a total of $4,500. I am still busy kicking myself in the teeth, because I would have paid much more than that for those blogs. Those blogs were generating over 300,000 monthly pageviews, but the sites were generating only roughly $300 in monthly revenues.

Without even adding any content to those sites, given their traffic volume and link authority (most of the sites were strong PageRank 6 sites with natural backlink profiles) I could have easily increased the income to over $5,000 a month (ie: had the network more than pay for itself in the first month of ownership).

I think that limited $300 / month revenue figure is a great example of why it is worth worrying about more than just pageviews. SEO is just one piece of the puzzle, and usually most sites have big obvious on site gains that could be pursued long before you look to invest heavily in increasing traffic.

I get some people who tell me that they are already getting a million pageviews a month and they want me to guarantee they will get 3 million pageviews a month if they read my $79 book. If you can get 2 million monthly pageviews for $79 please let me know the source and I will follow you with a few thousand dollars in hand. When you are to that scale the issue is not that you need more distribution. If you can't make money with hundreds of thousands or millions of pageviews you ought to consider changing your revenue model.

I realize that celebrity sites might get tons of low quality traffic, but how hard would it be to add ring tone affiliate ads, concert ticket text links, or dating affiliate ads to the sites? How hard would it be to write a dating ebook you sold for $30? And the blog A Man's View could have easy been changed to a porn blog that would make in excess of $5,000 a month by itself.

I guess a valuable lesson here is that networks that don't profit will eventually fall apart and/or will be sold for well less than they are worth. Another valuable lesson might be that there is still a huge disconnect between traffic and value in the minds of most webmasters, and the WWW still has near endless profit opportunity about.

A friend normally gives me the scoop on auctions at Sitepoint, but something went wrong on this one. I am still kicking myself in the teeth. I would have loved to have bought those blogs, especially that cheap. Damn damn damn damn etc ;)

Microsoft AdCenter Ad Labs Tools

After I pointed out Microsoft's AdCenter Labs yesterday WMW started a thread about some of the new tools. The selection of tools is diverse, interesting and useful enough to be well worth a review.

Content Categorization Engine:

This tool tells you ways your site may be categorized. Useful for:

  • helping you determine what types of webmasters might be interested in linking at your website

  • determining what type of affiliate ads you may want to consider using
  • seeing how well search engines understand what your site is about

Try Microsoft's Content Categorization Engine

Microsoft Content Categorization Engine Output.

Keyword Categorization Engine:

Similar to the content categorization engine, but for keywords. In addition to the uses described above this tool can also show you how well your page is aligned with your core keywords.
Try Microsoft's Keyword Categorization Engine

Microsoft Content Categorization Engine Output.

Demographics Prediction Tool:

Shows the age groups and gender of searchers for a particular query or visitors to a specific URL. Useful for:

  • showing the most common markets for a search query or domain.

  • showing you how well your site audience is aligned with your core keywords (for example, if a site lacks corporate bullshitspeakâ„¢, it would be unsurprising that the viewers of that site would be younger than the demographic averages for a field which is typically targeted toward older people who can't get enough corporate bullshitspeakâ„¢)
  • the most common groups of visitors and mindset to a site or for a query might be obvious, but some of the secondary and tertiary markets may be well less defined. this tool can help you find some of those other markets.

Try Microsoft's Demographics Prediction Tool

Microsoft Demographic Prediction Tool Output.

Seasonal Search Volume Forecast Tool:

Shows seasonal search spikes. It is like a hybrid between Google Trends and Google Suggest, but it will also show you relevant keyword phrases that have your keyword in the middle of them. This tool does not seem to have as much depth as Google Trends (ie: only a surprisingly few searches show results). They also seemed to have stripped out many gambling and porn related keywords. Unlike Google, MSN places search volume numbers on their trends. Useful for:

  • showing seasonal keyword trends

Try Microsoft's Search Forecast Tool

Microsoft Search Forecast Tool.

Keyword Search Funnel Tool:

Shows you the words people search for before or after they search for a specific search query. Useful for:

  • finding common spelling errors

  • finding related keywords that may not show up on most keyword tools

Try Microsoft's Keyword Funnel Tool

Microsoft Keyword Funnel Tool.

Detecting Online Commercial Intent Tool:

Shows you Microsoft's opinion of the probability of a query or a page being information, commercial-informational, or commercial-transactional in nature. Works well in conjunction with Yahoo! Mindset. Useful for:

  • seeing how commercial they think a term or page is, which is important because it is believed that some search engines, such as Google, have a heavy informational bias to their search results.

Try Microsoft's Online Commercial Intent Tool
Microsoft Online Commercial Intent Tool.

Local Ads:

Microsoft has a Seattle only local ad engine, a keyword mutation tool (to find misspelled keywords), an acronym resolution tool, a keyword group detection tool (like Google Sets), and a search result clustering tool.

I added links to these tools on my keyword research and niche discovery tool.

AdSense Gold - Tracking AdSense Ad Clicks by Page and Keyword

A friend of mine recently quit his job to work as a full time content developer for me, where we share the revenues generated. He started off with about a 20 page website about a month ago and right now it has about 40 pages indexed in Google. Yesterday the site brought in about $40 in AdSense earnings (which is not a lot, but the site is young). Within 2 months I expect the site to be able to make at least $200 a day.

Create a Wide Net:

The ability to quickly grow revenues quickly is largely due to throwing out many fishing poles at the same time and then accepting the feedback the market provides. As you learn what feedback the market offers you can create more content in those areas.

Use Software to Track Your AdSense Clicks & Earnings Granularly:

Here are some ad click stats by URL from the last 3 days. Off to the left of this image are URLs which I did not want to include in the image, but you can see that a few of the pages get the bulk of the pageviews and the bulk of the clicks.

Image of ad clicks by URL over a 3 day period.

In the last 3 days 137 clicks came from 17 new pages that my friend recently created. That is not bad considering that the rest of the site has exceptionally amazing link authority pointing at its well established pages and only had 117 clicks over that same time period.

Keys to Understanding how to Profit from Content:

If content production is nothing but a game of margins (and it is) then it makes sense to focus on the areas that are easy to get exposure in and are conducive to click happy site visitors.

Track Your Earnings at the Keyword Phrase Level:

So that is kinda how tracking your site performance on a per URL basis can help, but you can also track your ad clicks on a per search query basis. I had to scroll down through 9 screens to look at all the search queries that wounded up leading to ad clicks on that site this month.

While there were hundreds of search queries that resulted in ad clicks many of them had any of about a half dozen common modifiers in them. The modifiers that were useful on certain pages of the site were also likely useful relevant words for other sections of the site or perhaps the entire site.

Manufacturing Sitewide Relevancy:

I recently modified the site to

  • integrating relevant keyword rich navigation, breaking large sections into smaller sections and using subheaders near the navigational categories/options and

  • a descriptive bit of teaser content integrated into the content on each page

Doing that makes it easy for every page on your site to naturally match many modifier rich queries that were previously only relevant to a few pages that may have only accidentally contained those modifiers that resulted in heavy traffic.

If it is done well it could double the productivity of your site without adding much risk profile. Good spam does not look like spam. The intent is hard to question if content development is done in a manner where the additional content and navigation elements look like they are useful and targeted at human consumption.

How Do I Track My AdSense Clickthrough Statistics? What are the Best Scripts to Use?

If you want to start tracking your AdSense clickthroughs I offer a free script to track AdSense via Google Analytics. If you don't mind splashing out $97 you may want to give AdSenseGold.com's AdSense tracker a try as it has a few more features and is well worth the price if you intend on making big bank from AdSense. As a warning though, I found the associated newsletter to be so hyped up and spammy that I cursed him out for it, but I think AdSense Tracker itself is an exceptionally useful tool well worth its price.

The Contrarian Marketer

The effectiveness of a marketing mechanism is going to be inversely proportional to the volume of spam generated and marketed to the same demographic using that same mechanism. If a mechanism is saturated with spam you need to do things that add credibility or make your spam look less spamlike than the bulk of generated spam. As people kill the effectiveness of a medium or mechanism due to mass spam generation they may be setting up a new birth. The vastness of the web, the contrarian marketer idea, and the fact that antimarket forces (such as having knowledge, brand, government contracts, social connections, user lock-in, or data that competing businesses do not) are key to profiting are all a large part of the reason why SEO information can be so sketchy in nature.

I get lots of emails from people expecting a free business plan. If you expect the information you get from a free personalized email to be your edge in your marketplace then you ought to rethink your plan. The only way I am going to research a market in depth is if it is for a paid client or if I think I may want to enter it.

What works for me may not work for you. Where I fail you may be extraordinary. It all depends on your personality type, goals and interests. That is why my book and blog are more about throwing out lots of ideas that people can use to market instead of just offering some dumb no value add easy bake formula.

Surface level analysis typically only shows you what others are already doing. On the web it is hard to follow someone else's footsteps and catch them, especially if they think ahead and reinvest profits. Before you enter a market it helps to think of what value add, branding angle, or other idea you can use as a hook. What does the market want that is not being adequately supplied by the current vendors?

I had a cool chat with Caveman about the whole contrarian idea. That guy is sharp.

Building Trust in Ad Systems

Google's ad network is large enough that they can afford to kill off portions of their short term income to improve long term network viability. The still sell ads on garbage sites because some advertisers find value there (and others have small accounts or have not researched their spend). Andrew Goodman recently had a great post about how Google is filtering out the profitability of advertising noisy spammy AdWords ads to minimize the number of them appearing on Google. Andrew wrote:

Post pages that don't give adequate access to the crawler - or adequate keyword cues - and you risk facing the wrath of the quality scoring algorithm. It's less of a worry as much if you have an established account - it's new accounts that face the toughest tests with the predictive aspect of the algorithm, intended to weed out specific types of violators, experimenters, and ham-fisted copywriters.

In essence Google is going to require you to build trust and market data over time to gain the ability to even be trusted enough to gain anything near maximal ad distribution (even if you are willing to overpay for exposure).

Jumping from Paid Search to Organic Search

Some people believe that old sites only rank well because of the links they have acquired over time, but I think even just existing for a certain amount of time without being manually or algorithmically tripped up for some spam infraction allows search engines to place more trust on your site.

Plus requiring sites to be a bit older to rank well requires an additional expense and / or level of knowledge that many people lack.

You can bet that if they are taking a lets wait and see approach on paid ads they are also doing the same on organic search results.

YPN Regional Ad Targeting is Garbage

How is it possible that when you have a domain name, page titles, internal linkage, external linkage, page content, and search referal strings that all HEAVILY are focused around a specific state or region that Yahoo! shows many regionally targeted ads, but typically none that are relevant for the region your site targets?

Imagine a site that ranked well for everything related to Colorado mortgage but nearly exclusively showed credit card ads or mortgage ads for non-Colorado states. How are people going to click on those ads? How are those leads valuable to businesses?

Pretty bad relevancy there Yahoo!

How Commercial is a Web Page or Search Query?

Microsoft AdCenter Labs offers a tool for Detecting Online Commercial Intention. It estimates the probability of a web page or search query being information, commercial-informational, or commercial-transactional in nature. I think you have to use IE to use Microsoft's tool. Well at least they are consistant with the stupidity of trying to make it hard for their good ideas to spread.

You can also use Yahoo! Mindset to see how page relevancy scores change as algorithms move from commercial to informational in nature. Google's current search algorithms are heavily biased toward older and informational resources.

AdCenter tool link via WebMetricsGuru

Quick Indications of Low Quality Search Spam

As more and more of the web becomes spam (as a total % of the web) engines are going to get more selective about what they let in their indexes and people are going to be more selective about what they are willing to link at.

What are a few quick at-a-glance spameroooo indicators?

  • URL name - does it have 12 dashes in it? Is it a subdomain off something totally unrelated? SPAM!

  • folder names - are the exceedingly long and/or redundant? SPAM!
  • file names - are they redundant with the file paths and long? SPAM!
  • page titles, headers and content - are they so keyword rich that it is illegible? SPAM!
  • design - does it look like a 4 year old put it together? does the design not match the site? are the colors just ugly? SPAM!
  • graphics - do you use the a similar graphic to what most spammers in your industry use? SPAM!
  • ad placement - is the ad block floated left inline with the content area? SPAM!
  • outbound links - does it only link to crap off topic sites that link back? Is there a huge irrelevant link exchange area? SPAM!

I just wanted to feel like Doug for a day. Now back to your regularly scheduled program.

Why is it important to consider the above spammy signals? Search is self reinforcing. If just a few people who would have linked at your site do not because one of the above spam signals then you may never rise to the top to reap the fruits of a self reinforcing top ranked position.

Saturday I de-uglified a friends website by toning down its colors. That raised the ad CTR from 24% to 32% while making the site friendlier on the eyes and more linkable. There are many ways to increase earnings potential without making a site look much spammier. You have to consider linkworthiness as an opportunity cost in your site architecture and site monetization methods, especially if you are trying to maximize your revenues. The proper income maximization techniques vary greatly depending on your market, site quality and timeline.

The Importance of Establishing a Baseline

A number of my friends have stated that they have been growing less and less impressed with AdSense as a monetization model, but I think it provides a huge opportunity. The reasons I like using AdSense on a new site are:

  • Google has huge reach, so it shouldn't take their advertisers long to pick up on new advertising trends and opportunities

  • it requires virtually no effort, thus it allows you to scale without needing to hire ad sales reps
  • it makes it easy to establish a baseline earnings potential so you know how much to value your other media sales at
  • that also allows you to determine how much effort and investment each channel should get before committing you to spend thousands of dollars on a money losing channel.
  • if you track your ad clickthroughs you can also see which advertisers you are sending your leads at. If they keep buying them over an extended period of time and your site grows to be powerful with broad reach you can either partner with the same sources they are using, or perhaps create direct and premium partnerships with similar or better offers and companies in the same field

Of course there are downsides to placing AdSense ads on your site (like having your largest income generator and one of your largest sources of traffic being the same company), but as I have been building a few sites I have found AdSense helpful in determining where to pour resources.

John Scott recently had an AdSense integrated design competition , where he is offering a couple hundred dollars for a site design. Where else could you get a profitable and amazing site design for only a couple hundred dollars? Running a forum or being socially active helps you establish other baselines outside of your company and outside of AdSense, which allow you to be more efficient at finding and using resources. Friendships allow you to scale up and down without having to worry about hiring and firing employees.

Social interaction and the distribution it brings leads to further distribution, which gives you a wide reach of great people who will offer to give you feedback on your errors. So long as you are not defensive and do not try to control language when your ideas spread then nearly unlimited fast and honest feedback are great bonuses for anyone trying to spread ideas.

Which resources do you overvalue? Which resources do you undervalue? What do you use as helpful baselines in looking at the productivity of your business?

Another Rank Checker...

Corinaw at DP forums mentioned a new rank checker that shows rankings on many Google data centers, cache date, PageRank, number of indexed pages, and link data from Yahoo! and MSN. Here is an example result page.

Not overtly exciting, but a useful tool with an exceptionally clean interface.

Pages